Price/Sales is Better Than Price/Earnings…for forecasting future returns

Executive Summary

  1. If we’re going to use valuation metrics to make important financial planning and investment decisions why wouldn’t we use the most reliable metrics at our disposal?
  2. The Price/Sales ratio has a much higher correlation to actual subsequent returns than Price/Earnings.
  3. Price/Sales, and other reliable metrics, indicate the U.S. stock market is more expensive than it’s ever been in history.

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